Free Indian Equity Market Technical Analysis

BSE Sensex and Nifty wobbled today amid weak global shares and a fall in the rupee. At 9:19 a.m., the Sensex was down 42 points to 25,865 while Nifty fell to 7,731. The rupee tumbled to 61.23/dollar - its lowest since March 21 - amid broad gains in the dollar. Rupee had closed at 60.85 yesterday.

In currencies, the dollar hit its highest against a basket of currencies since last September after the Institute for Supply Management said service-sector growth hit an eight-and-a-half-year peak on strength in new orders and employment. The dollar index recently was last at 81.544, not far from the overnight peak of 81.626.

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Shares in India's Hero MotoCorp Ltd fall as much as 2.2 percent after the company's April-June quarterly earnings missed some analysts' estimates.  Hero reported a net profit of 5.63 billion rupees, against a consensus forecast of 6.13 billion rupees.  

Kotak Securities said the company's EBITDA was below its estimates. Kotak cut its price target to 2,800 rupees from 2,850 rupees, while maintaining a "hold" rating on the stock. Hero shares down 1.77 percent to 2,537.60 rupees at 0353 GMT.

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BSE Sensex and Nifty inched higher ahead of RBI policy review later in the day. The Nifty slipped after hitting its day's high of 7,714.45 in early trade.

The Reserve Bank of India is expected to keep interest rates steady while adopting tougher rhetoric on inflation at a policy review due to growing concerns that disappointing monsoon rains will lead to a surge in food prices.

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The Nifty staged a strong pull-back and closed over 88 points up ahead of the Reserve Bank of India's policy meet. 
ET Now poll suggests that the central bank may stay put on interest rates. However, Governor Raghuram Rajan is expected to announce liquidity enhancing measures to set the stage for an easier rate regime.

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• Bajaj Auto gains 2.2 percent after Barclays upgrades the stock to "overweight" from "equalweight".
• Barclays says all the bad news appears to be priced in.
• Demand for two-wheelers in India will accelerate to 12 and 12.3 percent for FY15 and FY16 as macro factors improve along with new launches, it says.
• The brokerage also upgrades Hero MotoCorp to "equalweight" from "underweight" citing recent rally.
• However, Hero shares are down 1.2 percent on caution ahead of June-quarter results.

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The Sensex opened higher on Monday tracking higher Asian markets. Lower Brent crude and higher rupee also supported market. Rupee opened 28 paise higher on Monday.Foreign investors sold stocks worth Rs.s. 1,073 crore on Friday. However domestic investors offset the selling entirely as they bought stocks worth Rs.s. 1,075 crore in cash market.

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Indian stock markets may need to brace for more turbulence over the next few months as rich valuations and global uncertainties could prompt investors — mainly foreign institutions — to lock in some profits. The Sensex and Nifty may fall about 3-7% from current levels during the period, said a majority of participants in an ET poll of fund managers and brokers, but a market decline could be a good opportunity to buy some of the blue chips.

 
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Indian shares may start higher, taking cues from the Singapore Nifty, but caution seen ahead of RBI's policy review on Tuesday. NSE index futures traded on the Singapore Exchange <SINc1< are up 0.62 percent, while the MSCI-Asia Pacific excluding Japan index is up 0.22 percent. Asian shares were under pressure, tracking weak Wall Street cues. Overseas investors sold Indian shares worth 10.73 billion rupees ($175.73 million) on Friday, provisional exchange data show.

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BSE Sensex and Nifty slumped on Friday amid a global selloff and a sharp fall in the value of the rupee against the dollar. The Indian rupee fell over 3-month low of 60.77 against dollar, its lowest since April 22.

Market analyst's said a correction was overdue in India markets and markets could fall to 7400 levels or even lower. Expectations from the new government and corporate results are very high but it will take time for improvement at the ground level.

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The S&P BSE Sensex plunged as much as 215 points in trade on Friday, tracking weak trend seen in other Asian markets. The fall in the index was led by losses in M&M, NTPC, HDFC, Tata Steel and Sesa Sterlite.

Tracking the momentum, the 50-share Nifty index also slipped below its crucial psychological level of 7700, weighed down by losses in realty, banks, pharma and auto stocks.

 
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Tech Mahindra Ltd slumps 5.1 percent after April-June-quarter net profit lags estimates.Fall in operating margins to 18.1 percent from 21.2 percent in Jan-March is also seen as disappointing.

Tech Mahindra shares had gained 19 percent compared to a 15 percent gain in the BSE index over previous three months.

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BSE Sensex and Nifty struggled in early trade today with some profit-taking seen in technology and banking stocks.
The Sensex was almost unchanged at 26,088 while Nifty fell 6 points to 7,785.

Some profit-taking was seen in technology stocks despite HCL Tech today announcing better-than-expected results. HCL Tech fell 1.4 per cent while Infosys and Wipro were down nearly 0.7 cent.

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The 50-share Nifty index is expected to open flat on Thursday following muted trend seen in other Asian markets, ahead of July F&O expiry due later today. 

The market may remain volatile as traders roll over positions in the futures & options (F&O) segment from the near month July 2014 series to August 2014 series. 

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Indian shares are set to open lower on caution ahead of the expiry of July derivative contracts due later in the day. NSE index futures traded on the Singapore Exchange drop 0.1 percent. MSCI-Asia Pacific excluding Japan index falls 0.2 percent. The dollar stayed strong and U.S. bond yields held firm on Thursday after data showed solid U.S. economic growth, even as the Federal Reserve repeated its message that it was in no hurry to raise interest rates. 

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BSE Sensex and Nifty struggled today, with result-specific stock movement in focus. Shares in engineering and construction conglomerate Larsen and Toubro more than 5 per cent on Wednesday after the company's April-June net profit, adjusted for exceptional items worth Rs.s. 249 crore, missed estimates.

On the other hand, another heavyweight Bharti Airtel rose over 5 per cent after its India unit posted strong results.The Sensex was down 17 points to 25,974 while Nifty fell 7 points to 7,741.

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The S&P BSE Sensex reclaimed its crucial psychological level of 26000 in trade on Wednesday, led by gains in ITC, Bharti Airtel, RIL and M&M. 

L&T plunged as much as 7.98 per cent in trade after the infrastructure major reported a 34.6 per cent YoY increase in standalone net profit number for the quarter ended June 30 to Rs 894 crore. The net profit also includes Rs 171 crore as exceptional gain.

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Shares in India's Bharti Airtel Ltd surge 5 percent Bharti's June-quarter net profit adjusted for exceptional items, including tax provisions, beats estimates. Investors say Bharti shares are providing attractive entry, being up 11.8 percent in 2014 so far, underperforming NSE index returns of 22.8 percent.

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The S&P BSE Sensex was trading in a narrow range with a negative bias in trade on Monday. The fall in the index was led by losses in TCSBSE -1.19 %, Tata MotorsBSE 1.00 %, HDFC and Reliance IndustriesBSE -0.94 %. 

Tracking the momentum, the 50-share Nifty index was also trading in a range but below its crucial psychological level of 7800, weighed down by losses in realty, oil & gas, IT and auto stocks. 

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BSE Sensex and Nifty struggled to find traction today with analysts expecting stocks to remain volatile as markets enter the expiry week.

Broader market underperformance will remain a cause of concern as Nifty struggles around 7,800. However, weakness in oil and gold prices could see money come back into equity and drive indices higher.

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Indian shares are set to open little changed on Monday on caution ahead of key results of Larsen & Toubro, Bank of Baroda and Hindustan Unilever later in the day.

NSE index futures traded on the Singapore Exchange are nearly flat, while the MSCI-Asia Pacific excluding Japan index gains 0.2 percent.

Asian stocks dipped in early trade on Monday after disappointing earnings hit Wall Street, while the dollar hovered near six-month peaks against a basket of major currencies.

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